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Measuring the Deconcentration of Housing Choice Voucher Program Recipients in Eight U.S. Metropolitan Areas Using Hot Spot Analysis

Xinhao Wang
David Varady
Yimei Wang

This article reflects the views of the authors and does not necessarily reflect the views of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.


This article describes the use of hot spot analysis to measure changes in the clustering of U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Housing Choice Voucher Program (HCVP) recipients. Hot spot analysis for HCVP recipients in eight metropolitan areas (New York, Baltimore, Chicago, Cincinnati, Miami, Houston, Los Angeles, and Phoenix) was performed using the tenant-based data system from HUD’s Office of Public and Indian Housing. The 2000 and 2005 hot spots were overlaid with 2000 Census block group data. The hot spot results show that the tendency of HCVP households to cluster varies by metropolitan area; however, no evidence indicates that HCVP clustering is declining. Although HCVPs are becoming less concentrated in hot spots in Chicago and Phoenix, the opposite is true in other metropolitan areas, especially in New York, Cincinnati, and Baltimore. This type of HCVP concentration is likely to continue as long as affordable rental housing is confined largely to central cities and older inner suburbs.

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