Table Of Contents

Foreword

Acknowledgments

Executive Summary

INTRODUCTION:
Welfare Reform Impacts On The Public Housing Program: A Preliminary Forecast

The Scope Of The Study

1. Issues Involving Job Participation
2. Sources Of Information
3. Assumptions Underlying Study of Welfare Reform Impacts
4. The Richmond and Norfolk Cases
5. Report Structure

1. LABOR SUPPLY
   1. Employability of Mandated Residents
   2. The Competition For Jobs

2. LABOR DEMAND
   1. The Economies of Richmond and Norfolk
   2. Entry-Level Job Availability
   3. Job Accessibility At The Metropolitan And Neighborhood Levels

3. THE SUPPORT NETWORK
   1. Transportation
   2. Child Care
   3. Special Assistance

4. THE FINANCIAL EXPOSURE OF THE HOUSING AUTHORITIES
   1. Rent Receipt Decreases Under A Worst Case Scenario
   2. Possible HA Responses To Lost Revenues
   3. Estimates Of Income From Work

5. THE IMPACT OF WELFARE REFORM ON TENANTS
   1. Income Changes Due To Sanctions
   2. Income Changes From Required Work Participation

6. CONCLUSION

ENDNOTES

APPENDIX A: Geographic Distribution Of Job Openings

APPENDIX B: The Derivation Of Jobs-To-Workers Ratios

APPENDIX C: The Use Of PUMS Data

     Charts

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: Richmond MSA and Richmond Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: Norfolk MSA and Norfolk Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation:Los Angeles MFA and Los Angeles Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: San Francisco MFA and San Francisco Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: Cleveland MFA and Cleveland Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: Columbus MFA and Columbus Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: Toledo MFA and Toledo Central City

• Measures of Labor Force Participation: Dallas MFA and Dallas Central City